Jimmie Johnson’s dominant victory at Texas Motor Speedway
Sunday pushed the five-time NASCAR Sprint Cup Series king back into the
championship lead with just two weeks remaining until the Sprint Cup championship
is decided at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
It also pushed a small-but-vocal band of Johnson haters to
the window ledge, bemoaning the possibility of Johnson’s sixth Sprint Cup
Series title in the last eight years.
Recent history, however, indicates that Johnson while
Johnson may be the favorite for championship number six, he is no shoo-in.
The Hendrick Motorsports driver admittedly took the field
to the wood shed Sunday in the Lone Star State, leading 255 of 364 laps en
route to the checkered flag in the AAA Texas 500. He had the dominant car from
start to finish, and drove a mistake-free race while Kenseth scrambled to
recover from an ill-time pit road speeding penalty.
In the aftermath of his win, Johnson leads
Kenseth by just seven points; ironically the same margin he enjoyed over
unheralded Brad Keselowski leaving Texas a year ago. Finishes of 32nd
and 36th at Phoenix and Homestead dashed Johnson’s 2012 title hopes,
and the Lowe’s Chevrolet driver has been running at the finish of all but one
race this season, he has seven finishes of 20th or worse on this
record this season. Beginning in mid-August at Michigan International Speedway,
Johnson staggered to four consecutive back-of-the-pack finishes – 40th
at MIS, 36th at Bristol, 28th at Atlanta and 40th
at Richmond – proving that even Superman encounters a lump of kryptonite every
once in a while.
This week, the numbers favor Johnson once again.
At Phoenix International Raceway, he is a
four-time winner in 20 career starts, with an average finish of 6.4. Kenseth
has struggled by comparison, claiming just one win in 22 career starts and
finishing outside the Top-10 in more than half his starts en route to an
average finish of 17.2. While the statistics point to another big day for
Jimmie Sunday, they said the same at Martinsville, where Kenseth shocked the
railbirds with a solid, runner-up finish to Johnson’s somewhat pedestrian fifth.
Kenseth has made a habit of bucking the trend
this season, running well at tracks where he has floundered in the past. Don’t
be surprised if he does it again in Phoenix, carrying the battle for the 2014
Sprint Cup all the way to its final weekend.
If that happens, it’s anybody’s ballgame.
Homestead-Miami Speedway is one of only five
NASCAR tracks where Johnson has never claimed the checkered flag. In his 12 previous
visits there, he has seldom been required to extend himself and race hard,
relying instead on healthy championship point leads that have allowed him to
race conservatively to the title.
When forced to race hard for the title, Johnson
has not fared well at Homestead. In 2011, a 32nd-place finish left
him sixth in the championship standings. Last season, a loose lug nut on a
midrace pit stop cost him valuable track position, before an uncharacteristic
rear gear failure left him 36th at race’s end and sent Keselowski to
the champion’s stage.
It happened before, and it could happen again,
especially since Kenseth’s seven victories give him the tiebreaker over
Johnson, who has six.
Make no mistake about it, Jimmie Johnson can hang
up his helmet tomorrow and become a first-ballot inductee to the NASCAR Hall Of
Fame. His 66th career wins rank him eighth on NASCAR’s all time
list, just 11 behind the great Dale Earnhardt. His five championships trail
only Earnhardt and Richard Petty, and he is the only driver in the history of
the sport to win five titles consecutively.
By any yardstick you care to use, Johnson is one
of the best ever to turn a wheel in NASCAR. But he is not the 2014 titlist just
yet.
Not by a long shot.
That car looked like a late model running against street stocks, I call b.s on that one
ReplyDeletePicture this. A countdown
ReplyDeleteCut to Jimmie Johnson. He says "5".
Cut to Jeff Gordon. He says "4".
Cut to Tony Stewart. He says "3"
Cut to Matt Kenseth. He says "2"
Cut to Kurt Busch and Brad Keselowski. They say "1"
Cut to Junior, Kahne, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, and host of other drivers. They say "lift out" of something else fitting.
Cut to montage of on track action.
It's a perfect promo. But it only works if Kenseth wins the title. :)
Write the check.....
ReplyDeleteThese last 2 races are a total crap shoot. No one's name is etched on the trophy though I sure hope it begins with a "J" ! Ellen, JJ's girlfriend
ReplyDelete